Co-ordination Failure, Moral Hazard and Sovereign Bankruptcy Procedures
نویسندگان
چکیده
We study a model of sovereign debt crisis that combines problems of creditor coordination and debtor moral hazard. Solving the sovereign debtor’s incentives leads to excessive ‘rollover failure’ by creditors when sovereign default occurs. We discuss how the incidence of crises might be reduced by international sovereign bankruptcy procedures and relate this to the current debate on revising international ...nancial architecture. Paper prepared for Bank of England Conference on “The Role of the O¢cial and Private Sectors in Resolving International Financial Crises”, London, and for the Latin American Meeting of the Econometric Society, Sao Paolo, Brazil. (Preliminary draft circulated for comments, please do not cite without reference to the authors.)
منابع مشابه
“Sovereign Debt Crisis: Coordination, Bargaining and Moral Hazard”
We study the interaction between (a) inefficiencies in the post-default debtor-creditor bargaining game and (b) ex ante debtor moral hazard and excessive lending in sovereign debt markets. Conditional on default, selffulfilling debt crisis driven by creditor coordination failure exists and crisis risk is inefficiently high. Strengthening collective action clauses (CACs) has an ambiguous impact ...
متن کاملBankruptcy proceedings for sovereign state
The paper examines the main issues involved in translating domestic bankruptcy procedures to the sovereign context. It considers some of the principles by which domestic bankruptcy procedures operate, and the extent to which they apply to international lending. Two recent proposals are considered in more detail, that of Krueger (A New Approach to Sovereign Debt Restructuring) and that of Pettif...
متن کاملAGeneral Equilibrium Analysis of Personal Bankruptcy Law
We analyse an economy where principals and agents match and contract subject to moral hazard. Bankruptcy law defines the limited liability constraint in these contracts. We analyse Walrasian allocations to generate the following predictions: (i) weakening bankruptcy law causes redistribution of debt and welfare from poor agents and principals to rich agents; (ii) exemption limits Pareto-dominat...
متن کاملSovereign default risk, the IMF and creditor moral hazard
The IMF potentially creates moral hazard when it provides bailouts to countries in a financial crisis. We ask whether a creditor moral hazard is observable in the data. We test the hypothesis that recent unprecedented bailouts – starting with the 1994 Mexican crisis – changed international investors’ perception of default risk on international borrowing. Our events-study approach identifies imp...
متن کاملBankruptcy Proceedings for Sovereign State Insolvency and their E®ect on Capital Flows
The paper examines the main issues involved in translating domestic bankruptcy procedures to the sovereign context. It considers some of the principles by which domestic bankruptcy procedures operate, and the extent to which they apply to international lending. Two recent proposals are considered in more detail, that of Krueger (2001) and that of Pettifor (2002). The paper also considers the qu...
متن کامل